Feb. 16: A test for prophets, bold pollsters

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Chaiman of INEC, Prof Mahmood Yakubu

Ehichioya Ezomon


By Ehichioya Ezomon
IN a few days, the dust and confusion raised by pollsters, pastors, shamans, prophets, men of God, will begin to settle. From the cacophony of their predictions, either the incumbent, President Muhammadu Buhari of the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) or Atiku Abubakar of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) would emerge winner of the 2019 presidential election.

Ahead of the Saturday, February 16 election, the prognosticators have already given their verdict. Some have said, “The poll would go to President Buhari.” Others have said, “No, it would favour Atiku.” The messages from the camp of the men of God have raised a question. Why should there be contradictions in a message God “directed” the prophets to deliver to Nigerians on the outcome of the contest involving 73 presidential candidates?As regards the prophecies, we know that “For God is not a God of confusion but of peace.” (1 Corinthians 14:33). Would God give differing messages, on this election, to His prophets?Let’s take snippets of some of the prophecies, and see which side they swing between Buhari and Atiku.

Primate Elijah Ayodele: The Head of INRI Evangelical Spiritual Church, Oke-Afa, Isolo, Lagos, predicted victory for Buhari, because the PDP “refused to do the right thing from the beginning.” They didn’t give the ticket to President of Senate Bukola Saraki.

Prophet Ekong Ituen: Spiritual Leader of Christ Deliverance Ministries in Lagos, said: “The election results will spring surprises. In my revelations, President Buhari will win the election.”

Prophet Christopher Owolabi: The General Overseer of Christ Apostolic Church, Ori-Oke, Irapada, Omu-Aran, Kwara State, declared: “The present leadership in piloting the affairs of this great nation, as was revealed to me, will extend beyond 2019.”

Dr. Emmanuel Omole: Founder of the Devine Hand of God Prophetic Ministry, said: “Atiku will show amazing efforts in the coming elections, but I see President Buhari ruling again.” 

Apostle Joshua Mone: General Overseer of the Voice of Liberty Intercessors Ministry in Delta State, said: “Nigerians must pray. I see a conspiracy to postpone election dates. I see the nation ‘Atikulated’ in 2019.” 

Apostle Johnson Suleiman: President of Omega Fire Ministries Worldwide, said: “Abubakar Atiku should focus on the North during campaign… I saw most Eastern states won by APC at the national level… 2019 Nigerian election – 100% rigged.”

Rev. Fr Ejike Mbaka: Spiritual Director, Adoration Ministry, Enugu, Nigeria (AMEN)declared: “Among all the presidential aspirants, Buhari stands in the best position in winning the presidential election.”

Pastor Gabriel O. Adegboye: Senior Pastor of Worksword of God Church, said neither Buhari nor Atiku would win the 2019 poll, but “God has ordained a particular man of God, with supernatural wisdom, to be appointed to pilot the affairs of this great nation, to restore normalcy in the land.”


The Predictions Continue 

The APC, PDP, and the other political parties, have awarded “landslide” or “moon-slide” victories to their candidates. Such projections, though, are meant for the consumption of members, the so-called “undecided” voters or “dissatisfied” supporters of rival parties.

However, of the surveys under focus, two (or three) by “foreign” organizations gave victory to Atiku and PDP, while a local newspaper predicted triumph for Buhari and APC. All the polls were published in early February 2019. 

The Economist magazine, like the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), a company in The Economist group, envisioned that Atiku would win. The magazine noted that, “we retain our forecast for #Abubakar to win, but expected margin of victory is narrowing as the poll approaches,” a reference to a previous forecast favouring Atiku.

The magazine, which boasts of a similar 2015 prediction of victory for Buhari former President Goodluck Jonathan, said while Atiku and PDP would win “despite numerous allegations of corrupt practices against the former Vice President,” Buhari was “the least awful choice,” which would be chosen “with a heavy heart.”Perhaps, the most astounding prediction comes from Williams and Associates.

Their postulations   gave Atiku “45 per cent of the total vote cast, 12 per cent higher than his closest opponent, incumbent, Buhari, who got 33 per cent.”Also bragging of reportedly forecasting victory for Buhari over Jonathan in 2015, the company conducted its survey of “Public Attitude in Nigeria January 2019,” interviewing 1,550 respondents between January 11 and 16.”Fifty-four (54) per cent of the respondents also say that regardless of who they support in the election, Atiku stands a better chance of winning the election compared to 38 per cent who believe that incumbent President Buhari will win.”

The company that claimed Atiku would win nationwide, including in Buhari’s strongholds of North-West, South-West and North-East, stated on its website, Williamspolls.com, that Atiku is its “client” from 2017 till date.Meaning that the poll was commissioned by and conducted on behalf of the PDP candidate, to whom the pollster sent, on February 1, 2019, an analysis of its findings before posting its findings on February 3, 2019.

On the contrary, the Leadership newspaper is estimating that “the president will win with about 60% of the votes, with an error margin of plus or minus 5%.” The tabloid did not base its findings on a scientific poll, but “the result of observations and wide-ranging interviews by our political editors and senior correspondents across the country,” which its “Board of Editors” analyzed to arrive at its conclusion.

The poser: Which of these prophecies, opinion surveys and observations would carry the day on February 16? The election is not only a referendum on the candidates and their parties, but also on the prophets.
Ezomon, Journalist and Media Consultant, writes from Lagos, Nigeria.

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